Monday, December 28, 2009

The Experts Are Always Right!

This morning, over a nice cup of coffee while watching the snow fall, I read the article in today’s Wall Street Journal, Technology Predictions are Mostly Bunk by L. Gordon Crovitz. From the article:

Arthur C. Clarke, the science fiction writer, identified what he called the "three laws of prediction," reflecting an optimistic view of ingenuity: 1. When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong; 2. The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture past them into the impossible; and 3. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

Take a minute, get a cup of coffee or depending on the time of day, a Knob Creek and water, and read the piece. And think of it the next time some talking head gives a prediction on the state of the economy, the state of technology or the state of the National Football League.

No comments:

Post a Comment